Soliman R
Children’s Hospital Egypt (57357 Hospital)
Egypt
Review Article
Scenario-based Prediction-of-Events: A New Theory Linking Strategic Planning of Healthcare Operations to the Prognosis of Medical Conditions
Author(s): Soliman R, Eweida W, Zamzam M and Abouelnaga SSoliman R, Eweida W, Zamzam M and Abouelnaga S
The “Scenario-based Prediction-of-Events” theory and conceptual model predicts the occurrence of future events according to different potential scenarios based on fixed certainties that include business, humanistic, and system-related factors, as well as other unexpected uncertainties. The new theory and model could be applied in any industry. Upon application in healthcare, the new model links strategic planning of healthcare operations to the prognosis of medical conditions. Prediction of how a certain medical condition would behave and creating scenarios based on the certainties (historical data) and the uncertainties (future expectations) using scenario-based analysis is an innovative strategic approach. The model will predict all the possible scenarios for prognosis of a medical condition and their consequences on resource utilization and strategic planning. Developin.. View More»
DOI:
10.4172/2375-4273.1000190