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Abstract
Estimation of Fatality Rate in Africa through the Behavior of COVID-19 in Italy Relevance to Age Profiles
Lambert Nzungize, Diane Umuhoza, Yongdong Dai, Stech A E. Nzaou, Mohammed Asaad, M. A. Abokadoum, Ulrich Aymard Ekomi Moure and Jianping Xie*
The emergence and pandemic of COVID-19 has rapidly become a global concern. In Italy, on 27 March 2020, there were 8165 deaths and 80539 confirmed cases of COVID-19. Demographic situations, like age profiles is reported to be the cause of high case fatality rate (CFR) in Italy. In Africa, the COVID-19 pandemic has not yet grasped epic proportion, but the estimation of CFR is still needed. We compared the CFR observed in Italy with the age profiles in 46 Africa countries and 2 territories which are already confirmed COVID-19 case. The estimation of the CFR in Africa ranges between (1.0%-5.4%) while in Italy is 10.1%. The five highest CFR countries and territories in Africa are Reunion (5.4%), Mauritius (5.1%), Tunisia (3.9%), Seychelles (3.8%) and Morocco (3.3%). The last three countries with low CFR are Uganda (1.0%), Zambia (1.1%) and Angola (1.1%). The observed difference is related to the age profiles.
Published Date: 2021-01-15; Received Date: 2020-12-23